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Table 2 Elicitation summary of the experts’ average lowest, highest and most likely (bold) mean and range (in italics) estimates (to 1dp) of cost-benefit percentage change in wildland fire management activities for status quo (i.e. helicopters) and potential RPA use in monitoring of forest and rural fires

From: Use of UAV or remotely piloted aircraft and forward-looking infrared in forest, rural and wildland fire management: evaluation using simple economic analysis

Parameter

“Status quo”, i.e. solely helicopter use

“Potential RPA use”

  

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Scenario 4

 

0 % RPA use

25 % RPA use

50 % RPA use

100 % RPA use

 

lv

mlv

hv

lv

mlv

hv

lv

mlv

hv

lv

mlv

hv

Cost–Benefit in terms of area burned

−0.7

6.3

14.9

4.7

8.6

14.1

10.2

15.2

21.0

8.5

17.4

26.0

105

015

525

025

225

428

350

552

755

2053

1062

067

Cost–Benefit in terms of fire suppression costs

1.4

8.0

14.5

5.9

12.4

17.7

11.2

22.8

35.8

7.9

19.8

29.3

05

015

025

025

625

928

050

1052

1052

2053

1062

067

Cost–Benefit in terms of fatalities

0.1

1.6

3.1

2.8

5.0

8.3

3.5

7.7

12.0

2.5

7.0

10.7

25

05

07.5

010

115

220

010

1.530

240

010

130

250

Cost–Benefit in terms of injuries

0.5

2.2

5.2

2.0

4.7

7.9

4.2

7.0

11.8

3.5

7.1

10.5

25

010

020

010

125

230

020

1.330

2.545

020

130

245

  1. lv lowest value, mlv most likely value, hv highest value. Table adapted from Gould et al. (2013)